The chief principle on which science rests — the law of causality

9 min readDec 4, 2020

a very flexible regression model (somewhat like curve-fitting) instead of a traditional time series model for this task because it gives us more modeling flexibility, makes it easier to fit the model, and handles missing data or outliers more gracefully.

The Choose Your Own Adventurer has the definitive roadmap for making Schitt’s Creek good. All you have to do is watch the first eight minutes of episode three (season one), fast-forward most of Roland’s scenes through the end of season two, binge episodes five through seven of season four ONLY, and then unfurl into the glory of episode five. That is called editing. The Adventurer wants you to post-edit six seasons of a television show to make it good. For free. If the people who made the show did not care enough to edit it, why should I? The Adventurer cannot say. They can only say that you can do it because they did it.

Visible Blackness must be contained and stripped of meanings that threaten elites, though. Under this allegedly post-racial facade, the Black voice operates, being bought, sold, and rented for widespread consumption.

Whiteness has always desired a window into Black life. During the Harlem Renaissance, on segregated stages, white actors donned blackface to depict their perception of American “Negro” life. Cartoonish looks were accompanied by gleeful all-white audiences. These minstrel shows weren’t the Black experience, but the audience didn’t mind.

Moreover, Prophet uses Stan for model fitting and generating uncertainty intervals (the range that the normal activity level is supposed to fall in). Stan is a statistical programming language for the Bayesian statistical inference. To optimize the model, the parameters for seasonality and trends need to be updated so that they are used as prior information. With the challenges that are addressed above, updating prior information for each time series for optimizing the model is not possible.

Frameworks like these can singlehandedly simplify the life of a Python developer once they get the hang of it. A Python framework can enable you to rapidly develop an application prototype, as a framework can essentially save you from the hassle of typing repeated code. The usability of Python’s frameworks isn’t just limited to web application development as they also stretch over to cover domains like Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Data Science.
On the other hand, Prophet is one of the best options to build a model with one set of parameters that fits various types of time series only using historical data; furthermore, it does not require input data to be preprocessed. For example, Auto Arima generates the optimal combination of parameters by itself, but the time series needs to be stationary which may require preprocessing for certain datasets. Moreover, a Prophet model does not require multiple time series data sets of features for forecasting to obtain good results unlike autoencoder techniques or clustering algorithms.

This number may sound ludicrous. But I’m yet to come across someone who openly admits they are close-minded. Use this piece of science and human behavior to your advantage when introducing new ideas into your conversations.

I make that distinction because when you do not like Schitt’s Creek, you are met on your journey into hell by three spirits. Each one is lying to you about how good Schitt’s Creek is because — and I cannot stress this enough — Schitt’s Creek is not good.
The first logical thing to do when there is an existing model is to understand how the model performs and to tune its parameters to improve its performance. According to the article about Prophet on the Facebook Research blog, its modeling approach is described as:

According to Phil, this simple phrase naturally attracts people towards the very thing you’d like them to support. Not only that, but you can hold them accountable if they begin to close down when talking about new ideas or ways of doing things.

HITs just want you to not give up. Ever. On anything. They need you to know that if you “push through”, “commit” and “believe” that Schitt’s Creek will absolutely “pay off”. The pay off, as far as I can tell, is that you might cry at the season finale. What they never say is if you are crying tears of joy and relief that this long boring waking nightmare is finally over. You can cry for a far cheaper price than six seasons (at 30 minutes an episode and 10–12 episodes a season) of Schitt’s Creek. You can hit your pinky toe on the side of a coffee table. You can watch any of the top three best Tonya Harding made-for-television movies. Now, that’s a girl with a sob story and she manages to tell it in 90 minutes or less.

If you don’t know where to start, you can find some good and useful resources on the internet. You can even use the Python reference books as they do a wonderful job of covering these topics in their depth.
I rubbed my hands. “Because talking is nothing but thinking out loud, to converse with another is to essentially receive access to the speaker’s mind. Hence the word ‘interview’ breaks down to — enter + view.”
America’s obsession with meritocracy requires Blackness to prove the absence of racial discrimination, as the total absence of Black people would signal the failure of color blindness. The inclusion of a few hypervisible African Americans hides the exclusion of the far larger group.

In the book, “Dream Teams,” author Shane Snow conducted a study with thousands of workers to gauge how open-minded they thought they were. The results showed that a whopping 95 percent of the participants considered themselves more open-minded than the average person.

The Jim Crow persona was a theatre character by Thomas D. Rice and a racist depiction of African-Americans and their culture. The character was based on a folk trickster named Jim Crow that had long been popular among black slaves. The character is dressed in rags and wears a battered hat and torn shoes. Rice applied blackface makeup made of burnt cork to his face and hands and impersonated a very nimble and irreverently witty African American field hand who sang and danced.

The HIT. The Adventurer. The Priest. All of them really want you to watch Schitt’s Creek. As far as I can tell, the best reason any of them can give for you doing so is that they did it and survived. They are natural child-birthers and Cross-fitters and vegans, all rolled up into one. Ultimately, Schitt’s Creek is good because they survived and you should too.
Python frameworks are kind of a godsend for developers. They are best at speeding up the development process by eliminating the need to worry about the low-level stuff such as sockets, protocols, or threads. There are several Python frameworks you can pick from, such as Django, Flask, Web2Py, Bottle, to name a few.
The Schitt’s Priest does not care if Schitt’s Creek is good. They only care that it is moral. Somewhere in the course of the show, apparently one of the characters becomes a marginally better person than they were when the show started. That scene must be transformative because the priest cannot stop talking about it. You see, a person was BAD and then they became good and, well, that’s basically Jesus. If you do not want to see Jesus, then maybe the problem is with you and not with Schitt’s Creek. Or, so the Priest suggests. The thing is, Jesus has a nut graf. You get to his character arc in a good one hour read or two hour Baptist sermon. Jesus understands when to leave a party, is what I am saying. These Schitt’s people come over and stay, honey.

The chief principle on which science rests — the law of causality

Bjack Gam W

2 hours ago·9 min read

Written by Baulsoftmia